If Israel and Hamas enter into a ceasefire, how long will it last?
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35
Ṁ1215
Jan 1
32%
0-14 days
11%
15-30 days
21%
31-45 days
36%
longer than 45 days

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Ṁ1,000
and
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This should have the close date extended.

@lisamarsh Done. Thanks

bought Ṁ10 longer than 45 days NO

Clarification: how long will it be agreed for, or how long will it last in practice? If the latter, what judges the “in practice”

@TomCohen Last in practice

bought Ṁ10 longer than 45 days YES

@Bruce54df the standard pattern is that Hamas fires rockets at Israel immediately after the implementation of a truce, everyone gets mad, but every element of the truce aside from Hamas continuing to fire rockets goes ahead more or less without a hitch.

Would something like this count as the truce being broken?

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