Let's predict next year's draft order!
The order here is that determined on the field; trades, forfeits and other shenanigans are ignored. So, if we were predicting the 2024 order, the Panthers would be number 1, even though in the actual draft the Bears got that pick via trade.
The team owning the #1 pick will resolve NO; the winner of Super Bowl LIX, who will have #32, will resolve YES. All other teams will resolve to the following percentages, calculated by percentage(pick) = round((pick - 1) * 100 / 31)
:
#2 pick: 3%
#3 pick: 6%
#4 pick: 10%
#5 pick: 13%
#6 pick: 16%
#7 pick: 19%
#8 pick: 23%
#9 pick: 26%
#10 pick: 29%
#11 pick: 32%
#12 pick: 35%
#13 pick: 39%
#14 pick: 42%
#15 pick: 45%
#16 pick: 48%
#17 pick: 52%
#18 pick: 55%
#19 pick: 58%
#20 pick: 61%
#21 pick: 65%
#22 pick: 68%
#23 pick: 71%
#24 pick: 74%
#25 pick: 77%
#26 pick: 81%
#2 7pick: 84%
#28 pick: 87%
#29 pick: 90%
#30 pick: 94%
#31 pick: 97%
I'll aim to resolve each pick as it becomes certain (e.g. the Panthers clinched the #1 pick in 2024 on New Year's Eve with their 14th loss of the season, so that's when I'd have resolved that question).