Will the French believe Intelligence Artificielle (IA) to be an existential risk, by 2030?
Standard
27
Ṁ13072030
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes, if, before 2030, a poll conducted by one of the leading French opinion polling firms (e. g., ipsos) reports that IA Doom, or other formulation of the Intelligence Artificielle-related existential risk, ranks in the top 5 of concerns of French resident for the near future. Will resolves No, if the IA concerns are mostly about impact on the economy, unemployment or internet Spam rather than total human annihilation.
If no polls is conducted, clearly this concern is not part of the French zeitgeist, and this thus resolves to No.
En cas d'ambiguïté, un résolution N/À est possible.
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