40% on cybench by EOY 2024
2
Ṁ20Jan 1
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.arxiv.org/abs/2408.08926
right now like 20% is SOTA (unguided)
due to the nature of agent benchmark revisions, i won’t trade on this market
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will >50% of the tasks in the WebArena benchmark be solved by EOY 2024?
62% chance
Will this market > 50% by the EOY 2024?
68% chance
🆒CoolFold 25 Challenge: What will these 25 values be at EOY 2025?
80% on SWE-Bench Verified by Jan 1 2025
14% chance
Chatbot Arena - top 3 labs EOY 2024
AI resolves at least X% on SWE-bench WITH assistance, by 2028?
AI resolves at least X% on SWE-bench without any assistance, by 2028?
Who will die by EOY 2025
Who will have the highest Single-Core Geekbench score at the end of 2024?
Who will die by EOY 2024?