Will Hamas still control Gaza at the end of 2024?
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Ṁ6699
Jan 1
81%
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Following the events of October 2023 it seems that the Israeli government will try to destroy the Hamas regime in Gaza, either by force or by other ways.

This question resolves NO if

at least 2 important newspapers will report that Hamas no longer controls the Gaza Strip, or will report that other parties or organizations have military control of the area.

Will resolve Yes if Hamas still governs the Gaza Strip at the end of 2024

Will resolve NA if the Gaza Strip is parted to several regimes, and Hamas controls one of the big cities (Gaza, Khan Yunis, Rafah)

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bought Ṁ100 NO

There are big parts in gaza that are controlled only by the idf (with no civllians in those parts). How do you treat these cases?

@AmirKrispin TBH im not sure, I thought that I set long enough period of time, so that criteria can be easily resolved. (I opened this market at 8 of oct, one day after oct 7).
TBH I don't think anyone can say that Hamas control in one of the big cities. however, I couldn't find a clear articles of reliable media as I hoped in when I opened this market.
its quite unclear who control Hamas now (maybe Muhamad Sinwar? unclear), and what kind of government activities they doing, but they don't active much in the cities.
I tend to YES, but maybe NA can be also a valid option, because I think they still control the Mawasi (that was not even populated when the market opened)

The close date should be extended, right?

@oh there are some people that like to have a time for prediction and a time for waiting to see the answer

The question and description make no sense:

Will Hamas still control Gaza at the end of 2024?

Will resolve NO if Hamas still governs the Gaza Strip at the end of 2024

predicts YES

@ArekStryjski

Yes you are right.

I have edited the description accordingly

My mistake

The description to this question is super misleading

predicts YES

@MarcusAbramovitch

Yes, sorry my bad, I was mistaken when I wrote the description.

I have edited the description now

Thank you

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