Will I break a bone by end of 2025?
Plus
12
Ṁ8152026
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The market will resolve YES if any of my bones are broken before the end of 2025. If I discover that this market was manipulated and my bone was broken in order to turn a profit, that will not count for purposes of market resolution.
I broke a bone once before when I was a small child, but have since had no major accidents or bone fractures.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@JimHays neither of those. Its possible i might go on a skiing trip in the next 5 years, but I would be pretty careful if so. I would play other outdoor sports if asked, but I don't have a habit of it now.
Related questions
Related questions
Will I have a baby by the end of 2025?
18% chance
Will I break another bone before 2027?
18% chance
Will I test positive for COVID by end of 2025?
54% chance
Will I bench 225 before the end of 2024?
54% chance
Will I pour concrete by the end of 2024?
25% chance
Will I bench 225 lbs for 1 rep by 2025?
56% chance
Will I [do action] by 2025?
20% chance
Will I get injured riding my electric unicycle by the end of 2024?
10% chance
Will I still be in my degree by end of 2025?
31% chance
Will I weigh over 150lb at the end of 2024?`
88% chance