Will a projective plane of non-prime-power order be discovered before 2026?
Basic
10
Ṁ2102026
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"Before 2026" as in before this market closes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
55% chance
Will a blank-slate AI prove the infinitude of primes by 2025-11-03?
33% chance
Will a plausible post-quantum proof obfuscator be found by end of 2024?
30% chance
Will a non-Mersenne prime become the largest known prime at some point before 2030-01-01?
38% chance
Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?
32% chance
Will Goldbach's conjecture be proved before 2040?
44% chance
Will there be a new largest known prime number by the end of 2025? (Last one - Oct 21 2024)
28% chance
Will the largest known prime number be non-Mersenne before 2030?
37% chance
Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2035?
45% chance
Will we have a formalized proof of Fermat's last theorem by 2029-05-01?
74% chance