Will the largest known prime number be non-Mersenne before 2030?
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Since 1992, the largest known prime number has been a Mersenne prime. Will the largest known prime number be non-Mersenne at any time before 2030?
This market will resolve YES if it becomes publicly known that a number not of the form 2^n - 1, where n is an integer, is proven to be prime, and is larger than all other publicly known primes at the time, before 2030 begins in any timezone.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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