Will Astronauts walk on the moon before the end of 2026.
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54
Ṁ10k2027
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Artemis 3 is planned to launch in December 2025.
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https://manifold.markets/Odoacre/will-a-human-astronaut-land-on-the
guess this is almost the same
There's a lot of moon landing duplicate markets. There's 3 for "before 2027" including this one, 5 for "before 2026", 4 for "before 2025"... I've collected them all in the description of this market so it's easier to get an overview of the probability curve.
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