If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?
➕
Plus
12
Ṁ981
2029
59%
Josh Shapiro
57%
Raphael Warnock
55%
Tim Walz
55%
Gretchen Whitmer
53%
Jon Stewart
50%
Gavin Newsom
50%
Cory Booker
50%
Chuck Schumer
50%
Dwayne Johnson
50%
Hakeem Jeffries
50%
Stacey Abrams
50%
Beto O'Rourke
44%
John Fetterman
42%
Michelle Obama
42%
Pete Buttigieg
37%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
37%
Andrew Yang
35%
Sam Altman
31%
Mark Cuban
29%
Kamala Harris

Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.

Then this market will convert to "Will NOMINEE win the 2028 presidential election?"

I reserve the right to remove or modify duplicates or joke answers.

Base rate:

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#️ Politics
#Democratic Party
#2028 US Presidential Election
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