If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?
17
2kṀ1433
2029
60%
Josh Shapiro
57%
Raphael Warnock
55%
Tim Walz
55%
Gretchen Whitmer
55%
Dwayne Johnson
54%
Jon Stewart
51%
Mark Cuban
50%
Cory Booker
50%
Stacey Abrams
50%
Andrew Cuomo
48%
Gavin Newsom
45%
Beto O'Rourke
45%
Michelle Obama
42%
Pete Buttigieg
40%
Chuck Schumer
40%
Hakeem Jeffries
37%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
37%
Andrew Yang
34%
Stephen A. Smith
31%
Kamala Harris

Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.

Then this market will convert to "Will NOMINEE win the 2028 presidential election?"

I reserve the right to remove or modify duplicates or joke answers.

Base rate:

Politics
US Politics
Democratic Party
2028 US Presidential Election
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