Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

Plus

861

Ṁ250k

2029

14%

Josh Shapiro

13%

Gavin Newsom

12%

Pete Buttigieg

12%

Other

Mark Cuban

Gretchen Whitmer

Andy Beshear

Tim Walz

Kamala Harris

Cory Booker

Jared Polis

1.7%

Wes Moore

1.5%

Jay Inslee

1.4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

1.3%

Brian Schatz

1.3%

Sherrod Brown

1.1%

John Ossoff

1.1%

Mark Kelly

John Fetterman

Andrew Yang

Resolves to 100% whoever is chosen as the nominee at the Democratic National Convention in 2028

Resolves to "None" if no one is nominated or if their is no convention. If for some reason the convention is postponed then this market resolves to whoever is nominated in the postponed convention. Unless the "postponed" convention takes place in or after 2032, in which case it resolves "None"

Remember to bet for "Other". Any shares held in "Other" give you free shares for answers subsequently added

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#️ Politics

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bought Ṁ300 Gavin Newsom YES

Slimy Newsom already maneuvering towards center.

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/18/elon-newsom-musk-california-spacex-00184408

Pete being above Newsom is crazy

@NGK Literal sleeper pick. Bro naps all day.

Gretchen Whitmer Jr. or whoever could make an assload of mana betting on this market

This made me realize gretchen has 5 kids. Amazing that she managed to have such a successful career with 5 kids!

I know Gretchen Whitmer is a freak behind closed doors.

Sir this is a Wendy's

Jared Polis

Bet accordingly.

bought Ṁ100 Jared Polis YES

@SemioticRivalry I can't wait for our first redditor president

@Joshua Technically Obama and Trump both did AMAs on Reddit

Crazy discrepancy here

@BenAdams Based on her 2020 campaign, I don't think Kamala would win the Democratic nomination even as the incumbent.

@Joshua 20% is less crazy it was at 40% earlier today

@BenAdams Yeah it was a new market, you can see this one has been at 23% for a while:

Somehow there’s a really weak pool to choose from

Should this resolve NA?

This is not an unlinked market, so no N/A for single answers. The name can be edited though.

I closed the market to new answers for now because there have been a significant amount of joke answers. I might open it up again when we get to 2027/2028

@DylanSlagh Will you still add them yourself?

@SirCryptomind Yes, especially if there is news or rumors about their planning to run. If anyone has any suggestions feel free to put them in the comments

@BenAdams this is a duplicate, Jeff Jackson now appears twice

@DanMan314 Shit my bad. Someone should resolve na

@BenAdams I don't think that's possible in this market format unfortunately :/ But you could edit the answer to be something like "[duplicate, ignore]"

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