Who will be elected president in 2028?

Standard

Ṁ20k

2028

ALL

36%

Kamala Harris

20%

Other

J.D. Vance

Tim Walz

RFK Jr.

Nikki Haley

Donald Trump

Josh Shapiro

Ron DeSantis

Gavin Newsom

1.8%

Tetraspace

1.6%

Mark Cuban

1.3%

Tucker Carlson

1.3%

Gretchen Whitmer

Pete Buttigieg

Getting in early

#️ Politics

#🇺🇸 US Politics

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1,000

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11 Comments

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another market on the same thing: https://manifold.markets/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj

Tim Walz

@Tetraspace 4% could be about right but I would think even lower. He's not running if Harris wins this year and VP nominees for losing candidates generally don't find success later.

bought Ṁ5 Tim Scott YES

Should add JD Vance

opened a Ṁ1,000 Answer #c01f2a6908bb NO at 25% order

Seems like this market is kind of broken post pivot? Needs some subsidisation

opened a Ṁ250 Gavin Newsom NO at 5% order

@Daniel_MC subsidized. Should be a tiny bit more stable now

@NivlacM seem much better now

Who is this?

Oh man, DeSantis-scenario is straight up dystopia. If you bet on that, you may as well bet on the end of the USoA. Florida-man in a suit. 😜

Hypothetical future perennial candidate Donald Trump might go for another run

13% he becomes president * 50% he gets a second term

7% she becomes president * 50% she gets a second term?

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