2023: 5th
2022: 1st
2021: 5th
2020: 3rd
2019: 1st
2018: 1st
2017: 1st
2016: 2nd
2015: 5th
2014: 3rd
2013: 1st
2012: Other
Source:
https://www.espn.com/nfl/qbr/_/seasontype/2/sort/cwepaTotal/dir/desc
Analysis:
Current Ranks (11/25 before MNF):
Joe Burrow
Lamar Jackson
Josh Allen
Patrick Mahomes
Jayden Daniels
1,000
3.00Update after Week 15:
Josh Allen is the clear MVP favorite and is almost certain to finish top 3 in EPA as he's currently ranked 2nd just 3.6 pts behind #1 Joe Burrow and 3.4 ahead of #3 Lamar Jackson.
Betting on other would be for Saquon Barkley or Jared Goff.
Betting on 4th/5th would be for Patrick Mahomes or possibly Jayden Daniels or Jalen Hurts.
Note that since the Bills next 3 opponents are "easy" the EPA may be downweighted in blowouts where the game isn't competition, so it is possible Allen wins MVP ranking 3rd in EPA behind Burrow and Lamar
