Will the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) do anything meaningful by July 4th 2026?
Basic
13
Ṁ196
2026
48%
chance

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Department_of_Government_Efficiency

Did Trump give Elon and Vivek real influence or a fake role to keep them away from him?

It's not a federal executive department, but they have aspirations of cutting the federal workforce by over 50%.

This market resolves YES if there's a media consensus that DOGE has done something meaningful (i.e. not just write a report, but actually influence the federal budget).

Shutting down the Department of Education might count if it is attributed to Musk/Ramaswamy.

An app to file taxes doesn't seem significant enough unless the IRS loses most of it's funding.

May resolve N/A if ambiguous.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

I won't trade in this because it's subjective but Musk being able to shut down a government funding bill seems like he and DOGE have significant sway on government policy

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules