Background

Donald Trump has recently shifted his stance on TikTok, now opposing potential bans despite previously attempting to force its sale during his presidency. He has made public statements and campaign promises suggesting he would prevent a TikTok ban, contrasting with his earlier position.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on the following conditions:

• YES if TikTok is not banned in the US AND Trump publicly claims credit for preventing/reversing the ban through statements, social media posts, or campaign communications

• NO if TikTok is banned in the US

• NO if TikTok remains unbanned but Trump does not make public statements claiming credit for this outcome

For resolution purposes, "taking credit" means Trump must explicitly connect himself to TikTok remaining available in the US, through statements like "I saved TikTok" or similar claims of personal influence on the outcome.

Considerations

• The House passed a bill in March 2024 that could lead to a TikTok ban if ByteDance doesn't sell the app

• Trump's campaign team has indicated he "will deliver" on promises regarding TikTok

• The situation remains fluid with ongoing legal challenges and political developments

• Resolution will depend on both the final status of TikTok in the US and Trump's public communications about his role in the outcome