Will Germany have a greater GDP than Japan in 2033?
Plus
16
Ṁ3812033
64%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
bought Ṁ20 YES from 66% to 70%
@Chocobo Which data source will you use? The IMF, World Bank, or UN estimate from the linked Wikipedia page?
The data for 2033 likely won't be available at market close, so you'll likely want to extend the closing date by maybe six months.
You could resolve sooner using official data from the respective countries, but then you'd have to decide an exchange rate yourself, it'd be a bit more fraught.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Germany's GDP grow in 2024?
32% chance
Will Germany's economy grow in 2024?
44% chance
Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?
33% chance
Will India have a larger GDP than Japan in 2027?
80% chance
Will China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035?
38% chance
Will Germany’s population have peaked by the end of 2025?
40% chance
Will India surpass China in terms of GDP before 2050?
42% chance
Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030?
Will GDP grow at more than 7% on average around 2030?
42% chance
Will Japan have a bigger population than Russia in 2050?
39% chance