If elected in 2024 will Trump issue more than 50 years in total in January 6th related pardons?
Basic
3
Ṁ622028
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves by the sum of remaining prison time of people he pardons.
Resolves N/A if he is not elected.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the U. S. President pardon Donald Trump by February 2025?
6% chance
Wil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term?
55% chance
Will Trump pardon more people during his second term than any president during a single term in history?
44% chance
Will Trump pardon himself over the course of his second term?
43% chance
Will Donald Trump be pardoned before 2027?
31% chance
If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)
41% chance
If Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?
73% chance
Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will Joe Exotic be pardoned?
56% chance
Will Donald Trump exceed Joe Biden's Presidential clemency count during his second term?
52% chance
Will trump ever receive any federal pardon in his lifetime?
49% chance