If Donald Trump wins the election, will he serve time in 2025?
100
1kṀ28k2026
1.1%
chance
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1W
1M
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What counts:
Prison, jail or house arrest pre-conviction does not, must be serving a sentence.
Prison, jail or house arrest post-conviction counts.
Community service, probation, and other non-custodial sentences do not count.
It does not count if he is pardoned or otherwise granted clemency before his imprisonment.
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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@ManifoldPolitics Is there a reason this is closed? I see no reason this couldn't remain open so that people can sell out / assess the probability of prison going forward.
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