If Donald Trump wins the election, will he serve time in 2025?
Plus
98
Ṁ26k2026
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
What counts:
Prison, jail or house arrest pre-conviction does not, must be serving a sentence.
Prison, jail or house arrest post-conviction counts.
Community service, probation, and other non-custodial sentences do not count.
It does not count if he is pardoned or otherwise granted clemency before his imprisonment.
Related:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@ManifoldPolitics Is there a reason this is closed? I see no reason this couldn't remain open so that people can sell out / assess the probability of prison going forward.
Related questions
Related questions
When will Trump serve time?
Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?
10% chance
Will Trump be elected President in 2024 / Will Trump serve time?
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030?
18% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will Donald Trump spend any time in prison before 2030?
23% chance
Will Trump do time?
7% chance
Will Trump spend any time in jail by the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison time before 2026?
10% chance
How will Trump serve time?