Will Donald Trump serve time under House Arrest before 2027?
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16
Ṁ10212027
33%
chance
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ALL
Resolves YES if Trump is placed under house arrest as a result of a criminal conviction or as a result of a plea deal. Resolution is based on when he actually begins being under house arrest, not when it is announced. Resolves NO otherwise on January 1st, 2027.
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predicts NO
Correct, only as part of a sentence, after a conviction or deal
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