Will Donald Trump serve time under House Arrest before 2027?
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Resolves YES if Trump is placed under house arrest as a result of a criminal conviction or as a result of a plea deal. Resolution is based on when he actually begins being under house arrest, not when it is announced. Resolves NO otherwise on January 1st, 2027.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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predicts NO
Correct, only as part of a sentence, after a conviction or deal
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