When will Trump serve time?
๐Ÿ’Ž
Premium
2.5k
แน€1.6m
Dec 31
92%
Never
0%
2023 (NO)
0.6%
2024
1.5%
2025
0.3%
2026
0.3%
2027
0.3%
2028
3%
2029
3%
2030s
0.2%
2040s or later

Resolves based on day that his custodial sentence starts, or "never" if he dies without serving a custodial sentence. Markets close will be extended as needed.

What counts?

  • Prison, jail or house arrest pre-conviction does not, must be serving a sentence.

  • Prison, jail or house arrest post-conviction counts.

  • Community service, probation, and other non-custodial sentences do not count.

  • It does not count if he is pardoned or otherwise granted clemency before his imprisonment.

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แน€1,000
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This is a Trump death market at this point.

It'd be baller if he went into prison then pardoned himself and half the block with him,

@Anguss9lU he should wait until he's sentenced to death and about to be killed and then pardon himself and the two thieves being crucified on either side of him.

@MartinRandall If he's going that far, why not go all the way? As it stands, he's going to be a footnote in 2000 years but if he dies for our sins, we're talking immortality, infinite syndication for "The Apprentice", sky's the limit...

boughtแน€50 YES

@Joshua yeah def gotta lock up the 95-yo... or the corpse.

reposted

This seems promising!

sold แน€1 YES

@snazzlePop perfectly fair though. Even Fareed Zakaria on CNN was calling out the insane lawfare against Trump as an own-goal and potential factor behind Trump's win

@snazzlePop what aint fair is having a trial in a city that 90% voted against you sending you to jail when the majority of American people want you as president.

@Riley12 Imagine the Joker running for president and how that might play out.

@Riley12 Fairness and justice are measured by societal cost. It's transparently quantifiable when you're dealing with dollar values.

@Riley12 Really depends on whether or not you committed a crime.

@Predictor Kamala just ran wym

@becauseyoudo I feel like this comment is trying to confuse me

@NBAP There's an argument to be made that every president committed a crime.

@Riley12 I mean, everyone has probably committed a crime at some point, not just presidents. I've jaywalked before. But not everyone has committed 34 felonies.

@Riley12 Fairness isn't just something people scream at their screens. All justice systems attempt to quantify and objectify fairness. You're suggesting that a conflict of interest should nullify the act of balancing the scales of justice and that fairness should instead be measured by the will of a single man. I'm saying I don't believe in kings.

Biden more likely to get locked up if Trump wins, due to treason at the border

@Yoae You should make a market for that. Let us know when you do.

@becauseyoudo good idea!

bought แน€5 YES

It'd be really funny if he gets re-elected and serves part of his term in jail

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