Will Austin and Rachel’s child (Ada When) bet on this market by end of 2030?
16
Ṁ843
2031
35%
chance

Apparently she’s due in July 2024! (Edit: She was indeed born in July 2024.) So, I asked the natural question…

See also:

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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