Will LessOnline 2025 and Manifest 2025 be within two weeks of each other?
Plus
6
Ṁ9622026
75%
chance
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1W
1M
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For 2024, they were a week apart as part of a broader festival season. The markets on both of them recurring in 2025 (for LessOnline's second year and Manifest's third) are pretty high, but will the events be temporally close again?
Note that if either of the two events does not occur, this market will resolve NO.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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