Benjamin Netanyahu, the prime minister of Israel (1996-99, 2009-21, 2022-), has been under investigation for bribery/corruption/fraud since 2016. He was indicted in 2019, and his ongoing trial began in 2020.
Some articles I found: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/03/world/middleeast/netanyahu-corruption-charges-israel.html, https://www.jpost.com/israel-elections/article-721198, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trial_of_Benjamin_Netanyahu
Resolves YES if Benjamin Netanyahu is officially convicted of any crime before the end of 2024, and NO otherwise (whether the trial continues to drag on, the trial gets cancelled, Netanyahu is found innocent, etc.).
2023 market:
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
1,000
3.00Netanyahu not even testifying until December.
question regarding the current trial, without an effective time limit:
https://manifold.markets/MichaelLatowicki/will-binyamin-netanyahu-be-convicte