Will the wild population of the African Savanna Elephant (Loxodonta africana) become extinct by 2100?
3
200Ṁ1522099
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the wild population of the African Savanna Elephant, a species that was classified as Endangered on the IUCN Red List in 2020. It will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct in the Wild or Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the wild population is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the wild population of the African Savanna Elephant persists.
For more information about the species, see:
For comparison, here the market about full extinction risk, including captive individuals:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will the wild population of the American Bison (Bison bison) become extinct by 2100?
26% chance
Will the African Savanna Elephant (Loxodonta africana) become extinct in the current century?
16% chance
Will the wild population of the African Forest Elephant (Loxodonta cyclotis) become extinct by 2100?
63% chance
Will the wild population of the Lion (Panthera leo) become extinct by 2100?
31% chance
Will the African Forest Elephant (Loxodonta cyclotis) become Extinct by 2100?
55% chance
Will the wild population of the African Buffalo (Syncerus caffer) become extinct by 2100?
37% chance
Will the wild population of the African Wild Dog (Lycaon pictus) become extinct by 2100?
54% chance
Will the African Buffalo (Syncerus caffer) become Extinct by 2100?
13% chance
Will the Asian Elephant (Elephas maximus) become extinct in the current century?
16% chance
Will the wild population of the Cheetah (Acinonyx jubatus) become extinct by 2100?
50% chance