Will Sri Lanka’s economy collapse under a new presidency before 2030?
Basic
5
Ṁ282030
61%
chance
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It is highly likely that Anura Kumara Dissanayake will be president of the island nation in South Asia. Given his inexperience and Marxist inclination, could the country’s economy collapse?
Market resolves YES if any of the following had happened by or is true on Dec 31, 2029:
Sri Lanka defaults on its debt (again)
Hyperinflation
Negative GDP growth
Growing debt to GDP ratio
Credit rating downgrades
Stock market crashes
Shortage of food or medicine, or infrastructure disruptions like power outages
Civil unrest like 2022
Devalued currency
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