Will Sri Lanka’s economy collapse under a new presidency before 2030?
Basic
6
Ṁ38
2030
65%
chance

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/sri-lankas-marxist-leaning-dissanayake-early-lead-become-president-2024-09-21/

It is highly likely that Anura Kumara Dissanayake will be president of the island nation in South Asia. Given his inexperience and Marxist inclination, could the country’s economy collapse?

Market resolves YES if any of the following had happened by or is true on Dec 31, 2029:

  • Sri Lanka defaults on its debt (again)

  • Hyperinflation

  • Negative GDP growth

  • Growing debt to GDP ratio

  • Credit rating downgrades

  • Stock market crashes

  • Shortage of food or medicine, or infrastructure disruptions like power outages

  • Civil unrest like 2022

  • Devalued currency

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Ṁ1,000
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S3.00
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The IMF has been f*cking over every country they have "bailed", honestly they are better off with this guy, ask Greece

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