19% chance. A single AI system must be able to use an arbitrary prompt to generate video games from any genre that exists today in 2023. The generated games should be comparable in quality to games created by 'AA' mid market studios in (or before) the year 2023. Some examples: "make me a multiplayer arena shooter in set in zero g" "make me a fantasy rpg with branching choices using a combat system inspired by D&D" "make me a voxel based open world exploration game based around crafting" "make me a mindbending puzzle game that uses perspective and time as central mechanics" The AI doesn't have to be available to the public, as long as it's confirmed to exist. EDIT #1: I will not bet on this market.