By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050? | Manifold

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050?

Plus

27

Ṁ2419

2051

18%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If the following metaculus market resolves positively before the end of 2050:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/

Then this market here resolves N/A.

Otherwise, the market here resolves the same as this one:
https://manifold.markets/DanielKilian/by-2050-will-there-be-a-cure-to-agi

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Relevant market (maybe even arbitrage opportunity?):

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2027?

+7% 1d35% chance

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2035?

By 2070, will there be a cure to aging?

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on AGI by 2050?

By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

-3% 1d42% chance

By 2040, will there be a cure to aging?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2027?

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on AGI by 2050?

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?

By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Will we get AGI before 2035?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

By 2070, will there be a cure to aging?

By 2040, will there be a cure to aging?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules