By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050?
Basic
26
2.4k
2051
19%
chance

If the following metaculus market resolves positively before the end of 2050:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/

Then this market here resolves N/A.

Otherwise, the market here resolves the same as this one:
https://manifold.markets/DanielKilian/by-2050-will-there-be-a-cure-to-agi

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Relevant market (maybe even arbitrage opportunity?):