Before 2027, will Manifold Markets be considered a social media competitor to Twitter?
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23
Ṁ1892
2026
9%
chance

Without having to actually use money, this just feels like social media. I think this is a very strong social media tool to get to the hard questions. Like twitter is a bastion for news, Manifold Markets has the potential to be the same.

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By whom? What if I already use it that way?

predicts NO

@TassiloNeubauer Right now, I think Would make another market asking people from manifold markets that will be open for one week prior to this market closing. If 30% of people say it is a competitor, then this market will resolve to "Yes".

predicts NO

@DanielKilian if you're asking people who are on Manifold, that biases the answer towards yes, I think?

Hope yes, bet no

@noumena Thank you!

@IsaacKing would make more sense to talk about it on here now, for Manifold Market's sake? Exposure and whatnot?

But yeah, I could see having to pay to make a market, but placing bets on the market should be via mana. That may help.

@DanielKilian You already do have to pay to create a market, it costs Ṁ50.

@IsaacKing lol i forget so quickly. thanks!