Just to clarify the resolution criteria:

I assume the market resolves if Trump successfully appeals the current jury verdict? (I.e., if his convictions are vacated but remanded for a new trial, then it resolves "yes" without depending on the result of the second trial and any subsequent appeal thereof?)

I assume "mistrial" includes the appellate court vacating the conviction and remanding for further proceedings or a new trial, whether or not that's denominated a "mistrial"?

This resolves "yes" if the trial court itself vacates the jury verdict? (Trump has filed a motion requesting that, which the trial court is considering.)

What does "successfully appeal" mean? That the appellate court will rule in his favor?

@Jo2e2b conviction overturned or mistrial declared.

@Jo2e2b let me know if you think that misses anything.

@Daniel_MC Does he have to overturn all of his convictions, or is overturning some of the counts enough?

@NateWatson All, though I think its that its an all or nothing situation.

@Daniel_MC is this only the first court that reviews his appeal, or any court that ever does? So for example if a NY state court rejects the appeal but then the Supreme Court accepts it (don't know if this is actually how it works, just a hypothetical)

@mint it's about the ultimate result once all appeals are exhausted or aren't going to be persued.