AI controlled drone dogfights will make a debut in Ukraine by end of war.
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32
Ṁ1809
2040
43%
chance

If there is a permanent ceasefire signed and fully autonomous dogfights between drones have not taken place this resolves to NO or the same but by December 2040. I will decide what constitutes a permanent ceasefire. If both drones are autonomous and in a dogfight this will resolve to YES

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Can you clarify what autonomous is, what a drone is and what a dogfight is? It's not clear that a patriot battery shooting at a shahed doesn't resolve this to yes.

@HastingsGreer If the patriot battery shot out a shahed that then shot down the other shahed this would resolve to YES

bought Ṁ25 YES

i would put it at 30% because russia must have an autonomous drone for this to resolve to yes. i put it at 60% that ukraine gets an autonomous drone before the war ends.

For this to resolve YES, but sides have to have at least one autonomous drone in an incident in which each drone attempts to harm the other? Or would an ambush on one drone by another count? And if so, does the ambushed drone have to be operating autonomously at the time (e.g., not shut down or in standby mode)?

They both have to be autonomous and in a dogfight

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