Will we be able to decode dolphin communication by 2030?
Plus
23
Ṁ8442029
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if there is a published paper in a reputable journal claiming to be able to provide reasonably accurate translations of dolphin to dolphin communication. Some background: https://www.scienceabc.com/nature/animals/can-communicate-dolphins.html
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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OK, I basically never bet more than 10, and here I bet 20 to NO. There are multiple related communication systems at work, they are organized on different principles than (human) natural languages so one can't just import insights from theoretical linguistics, and yeah, it's not like we're swimming in data sufficiently for setting up a neural network translator. I'm, like, 98% certain on that one (although I won't actually spend the mana to lower the market that much).
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