Will we be able to decode dolphin communication by 2030?
Plus
23
Ṁ8442029
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if there is a published paper in a reputable journal claiming to be able to provide reasonably accurate translations of dolphin to dolphin communication. Some background: https://www.scienceabc.com/nature/animals/can-communicate-dolphins.html
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
OK, I basically never bet more than 10, and here I bet 20 to NO. There are multiple related communication systems at work, they are organized on different principles than (human) natural languages so one can't just import insights from theoretical linguistics, and yeah, it's not like we're swimming in data sufficiently for setting up a neural network translator. I'm, like, 98% certain on that one (although I won't actually spend the mana to lower the market that much).
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a very reliable way of reading human thoughts by the end of 2024?🧠🕵️
8% chance
Will significant strides be made in cracking dolphin language by 2026?
45% chance
Will AI (or humans) decode and translate whale communication patterns to where humans can understand complex inter-whale discussions by the end of 2034?
81% chance
Will Animal Communication be Translated by 2030?
38% chance
Will humans be able to “talk” with animals before 2035?
46% chance
Meaningful two-way conversation between a dolphin/whale and a human before 2040
23% chance
Will we be able to communicate with dogs in English, by 2030?
16% chance
Will AI allow us to talk to animals by 2034?
77% chance
Will humans be able to have a basic conversation with whales before 2027 using LLMs?
27% chance
Will there be a very reliable way of reading human thoughts by the end of 2030? 🧠🕵️
36% chance