Will the Sumatran Orangutan (Pongo abelii) become extinct in the current century? | Manifold

Will the Sumatran Orangutan (Pongo abelii) become extinct in the current century?

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2099

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This market is about the extinction risk of the Sumatran Orangutan species in the current century. The market will resolve YES if the Sumatran Orangutan is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sumatran_orangutan

IUCN assessment

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/121097935/247631244

Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Extinction Risk

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Here a first comparison of the extinction risk of 20 species, for which I have set up markets yesterday and today. I have classified them in ten risk classes.

0-9%: Ultra Low Risk

None

10-19%: Low Risk

None

20-29%: Minor Risk

30-39%: Moderate Risk

Bonobo, Black Rhinoceros, Lion

40-49%: Substantial Risk

White Rhinoceros, Asian Elephant, African Savanna Elephant, Western Gorilla, Tiger, Leopard, Jaguar

50-59%: Significant Risk

Indian Rhinoceros, African Forest Elephant, Sumatran Orangutan, Eastern Gorilla, Snow Leopard

60-69%: High Risk

Tapanuli Orangutan, Bornean Orangutan

70-79%: Severe Risk

Sumatran Rhinoceros

80-89%: Critical Risk

Javan Rhinoceros

90-100%: Ultra High Risk

None

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