Will Legal Gender cease to exist in the US before 2060?
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Resolves as Yes if gender is no longer indicated on legal documents such as US passport or driving license, nor recorded by administrations, but only used by some institutions on a declarative basis (in effect, gender would be treated like race/ethnicity or sexual orientation currenly is in 2023). Resolves as Yes immediately as soon as implemented.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@ElBaltringo Status quo bias is strong, and legal gender is very Lindy :) If society takes on a different view I'd guess 60 years, not 30. If there is no push to change a policy I have no reason to expect it will be.
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