If Trump is elected in 2024, will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
Plus
15
Ṁ12572030
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Trump is elected, this will resolve according to this market. Otherwise, it will resolve N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the US government commit to legal restrictions on large AI training runs by January 1st, 2025?
3% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
84% chance
If Biden is elected in 2024, will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
25% chance
Will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
14% chance
Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?
30% chance
If Trump is elected, will the shutdown of the US AI Safety Institute be announced in 2025?
39% chance
Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?
20% chance
Will the U.S. create a new federal agency to regulate AI by the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035?
32% chance
Will the US government enact legislation before 2026 that substantially slows US AI progress?
18% chance