Currently finding markets on Manifold is mostly a manual process. There are filters and sorts and searches, but there is no way to get recommended markets where you're likely to have an edge or want to bet for other reasons. LLMs make this kind of feature possible where it wasn't before. This market resolves to YES if Manifold introduces such a feature by the end of the year, and NO otherwise. Resolution will be by my personal judgement.
1,000People are also trading
What kind of experience are you looking for exactly? We currently have the For You sort on the homepage which is intended to provide personalized market recommendations. Were there results there not good enough for you or not focused enough on areas where you'd have an edge? Or do you want recommendations to appear in some other modality (a push notification, a chatbot that you talk to, etc.)?
@Eliza I'm buying Yes, here's why:
Currently the team seems to be building features similar to this, it fits the mold of what they seem to be interested in
They are actively using AI in almost every new feature, both to help develop the feature and in the implementation itself
I think the example of "looks at your betting activity to know what you are interested in" is a perfect fit for however these systems work
The end of year timeframe is generous
There is also a related market for just June:
/SG/which-new-product-features-will-man-hORyqLhEln
The timeframe might be tight since that is only 6 weeks away, but it could be worth adding this answer to that popular market, or seeing if any of the ones there also fit with it.
@EmmettShear have you tried the new 'Site Activity' tab on the Explore page? I found your market via that just now. I think they just added this feature very recently, so I'm not quite sure how it works, but I have had a better strike rate there than the 'For You' on the homepage.
