Will 20 or more clones of John von Neumann exist by 2100?
15
Ṁ11272100
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
They don't have to be strict clones - they can have point changes but should be essentially attempts to clone him as he was. They should be physical clones made from his DNA (or his DNA as we think it might have been, pieced together as best we can).
Half-clones does not count at all.
20 semi-clones but with health or other normal genetic modifications do count, as long as at least 75% of his genes are preserved.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
If we have perfect clones with 100% of his genes preserved but their biology and neurology are digitally simulated rather than physical, is this NO?
Related questions
Related questions
Will John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older be more likely to identify as LGBTQ+ than the general population?
38% chance
What proportion of John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older will identify as LGBTQ+?
25% chance
Will a human clone be born before the end of 2035?
45% chance
Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?
48% chance
Will any human-created robot or life form create a copy of itself before 2030?
45% chance
Will we be able to clone a human being from a live sample of their DNA by 2040?
38% chance
Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism be created before January 1st, 2040?
27% chance
In 2030, will there be at least 50,000 people in whatever the Neom project has evolved into by then?
45% chance
Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100?
55% chance
By 2050, will any world leader have advocated for "utilitarian Von Neumann machines"?
25% chance