Will the S&P 500 both increase and decrease by over 5% in one day in 2025? | Manifold

Will the S&P 500 both increase and decrease by over 5% in one day in 2025?

9

1kṀ8126

2026

35%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

i.e. there is a day it increases >5%, and another day it decreases by 5%

close to close so that we cover the entire interval.

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bought Ṁ100 YES

A -5% day has now occured. If there's a big rally day at any point this year, this resolves Yes.

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