Will global heating (directly or indirectly) lead to the collapse of advanced human civilization before 2100? | Manifold

Will global heating (directly or indirectly) lead to the collapse of advanced human civilization before 2100?

Plus

25

Ṁ1675

2100

16%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Obviously determining causation could be… difficult to do accurately. Makes me wary about this question

Civilization, as in global or in some specific region? Like if advanced civilization collapses in Europe and US, but survives in China does that count as collapse or not?

predictedYES

@parhizj That would not count. Thank you.

Related questions

Will the human civilization collapse before we become multi planetary species?

Will a global catastrophe kill at least 10% of humans before 2100, and what will be the cause?

Will climate change decimate humans before 2070?

Conditional on at least 10 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Conditional on at least 5 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Will climate change decimate humans before 2090?

Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?

Will human civilization have altered into an unrecognizable state by 2100?

What will be the primary cause of a significant global catastrophe by 2030?

Conditional on at least 8 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Related questions

Will the human civilization collapse before we become multi planetary species?

Will climate change decimate humans before 2090?

Will a global catastrophe kill at least 10% of humans before 2100, and what will be the cause?

Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?

Will climate change decimate humans before 2070?

Will human civilization have altered into an unrecognizable state by 2100?

Conditional on at least 10 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

What will be the primary cause of a significant global catastrophe by 2030?

Conditional on at least 5 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Conditional on at least 8 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules