Will Trump's first year of presidency be positive for AI safety?
Basic
5
Ṁ802025
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Please write more concrete resolution criteria.
Related article: https://newsletter.safe.ai/p/ai-safety-newsletter-39-implications
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
84% chance
If Trump is elected, will the shutdown of the US AI Safety Institute be announced in 2025?
39% chance
Will the next U.S. President sign an Executive Order related to AI within their First 100 Days?
60% chance
If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?
37% chance
Will Donald Trump directly endorse some form of AI regulation in a public statement between now and inauguration day?
14% chance
In 2025, what 2019-2022 work of AI safety will I think was most significant?
If Trump wins, who will be the White House’s important AI policy officials in 2025?
If Trump wins, will the US government enact legislation that significantly slows down AI progress?
24% chance
Will Trump repeatedly raise concerns about existential risk from AI before the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will AI get regulated after the US president election until the end of 2025?
70% chance