Conditional on Aella getting new cavities, will 10000+ people get Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment?
Plus
19
Ṁ35032030
42%
Aella gets new cavities; >= 10000 people get treatment
7%
Aella gets new cavities; < 10000 people get treatment
36%
Aella does not get new cavities; >= 10000 people get treatment
16%
Aella does not get new cavities; < 10000 people get treatment
This is a joint market for the outcome of these two markets:
/jcb/if-lantern-bioworks-successfully-re
/Aella/will-i-get-any-new-cavities-after-a
It resolves according to how the two linked markets resolve.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
[M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030?
72% chance
Will someone who tweeted about Lantern Bioworks before April get a cavity with the product before 2025?
37% chance
Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026?
21% chance
Will the scientific consensus in 2030 be that Lantern Bioworks' Lumina Probiotic is effective at reducing cavities?
44% chance
Will the Lumina oral probiotic treatment reduce the rate of cavities by at least 50% in the 4 years after application?
55% chance
Aella personally spreads Lantern Bioworks anticavity bacteria to people she knows any time through 2027
24% chance
Will I get an oral inoculation against cavities through GMO bacteria, via Lantern Bioworks or similar, by end of 2033?
58% chance
Does Lantern Bioworks' product to prevent cavities also eliminate "morning breath"?
38% chance
Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2028?
16% chance
Will Lantern Bioworks be sued over harm caused by their Lumina treatment by the end of 2028?
37% chance