Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?

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Within a year of the election, will Trump publicly disparage Elon Musk?

This could be for any reason, provoked or otherwise. Things like belittling nicknames and personal insults would count, or "I never liked him anyway" type statements.

As this might be somewhat subjective, I won't trade.

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bought Ṁ500 NO

Personally I think if he leaves soon without it happening the probability becomes much much less likely: https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/04/02/trump-musk-leaving-political-liability-00265784

@Balasar Seems like it's going to be an amicable breakup

@TimothyBandors "The president is pleased with Elon Musk, but the decision comes as the tech mogul increasingly looks like a political liability." I'll be the first to say I will be shocked if this resolves NO but its looking like its headed that way.

bought Ṁ100 YES

Arb opportunity: https://manifold.markets/DanGershony/musk-and-tump-will-fall-out-by-end

opened a Ṁ9,000 NO at 28% order

Nah

@skibidist lolololol

@skibidist the president never lies in ALL CAPS. It's cruise control for TRUTH.

@MartinRandall the funniest part about this is that barely anyone was talking about what the Cabinet thinks about Musk. By tweeting this he basically confirmed that at least a couple of people are already tired of his BS.

@Balasar https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/07/us/politics/trump-musk-doge-power.html?unlocked_article_code=1.2E4.-xoU.Zkn4P_a-t8yU&smid=url-share

Some thoughts from the high human capital guru

sold Ṁ321 YES

@skibidist paywall, but I’ve just been thinking about how Trump ends up fighting with EVERYBODY. In retrospect, it’s really insane that Trump broke up with his 1st term VP. But because it’s Trump we don’t really think about it.