Description: This market is created to gauge predictions on a very sensitive subject: whether Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a prominent public figure, will be the target of a successful assassination before the end of December 31, 2026. This topic is approached with the highest level of sensitivity and seriousness. The intention behind this market is to explore concerns about the safety of significant political figures in today's complex societal landscape, not to sensationalize or trivialize such a grave subject. Market participants are strongly encouraged to engage with this subject matter respectfully and ethically, understanding the potential impact of their speculation.
Rules and Conditions:
The resolution of this market hinges on confirmed and widely reported instances of a successful assassination of Robert F. Kennedy Jr., as reported by reputable and credible news organizations or confirmed by official law enforcement or government statements.
"Successful assassination" is defined as an act that directly results in the death of Robert F. Kennedy Jr., motivated by political, ideological, or other premeditated reasons.
Confirmation must come from multiple reputable sources to be considered valid for the purposes of this market's resolution.
Should no such event occur by the specified deadline, the market will resolve as "No."
Participants are reminded of the gravity of this market's topic and urged to approach it with the utmost respect and consideration for the serious implications it involves.
Disclaimer: This market is for speculative purposes only and is in no way an endorsement or encouragement of violence towards any individual. It is constructed to provide insight into public perceptions regarding the security of notable individuals in a charged political and social environment. Participants are reminded that promoting or engaging in harmful actions based on market outcomes is strictly prohibited and fundamentally against the values of Manifold Markets. This market operates under the principle of ethical speculation and aims to foster a respectful and responsible community of predictors.