Will there be an assassination of an American politician by the end of 2025?
Basic
9
Ṁ290
2026
42%
chance

According to Wikipedia, there have been 58 assassinated American politicians, with the most recent being Linda Collins in 2019.

Will there be another American political assassination by the end of 2025 (as determined by Wikipedia)?

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Given the Collins example, I'm guessing you're counting state positions as well as federal. How about municipal?

I’m deferring to Wikipedia. If their editors accept it, I’m accepting it.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules