Will there be an assassination of a US head of Government by the end of 2024?
38
Ṁ3537
Jan 1
7%
chance

This can be any head of Government - Federal, State, or Local. ie. President, Governor, or Mayors only. Those elected in 2024 who have not yet taken office at the end of the year also counts (ex. President-elect). It must be a successful assassination, attempts don't count.

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
#️ Politics
#Trump
#Joe Biden
#US State Government
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Possibly 100k mayors in the US (1400 mayors over 30k population). Silly market.

Does this include dogs who are mayors?

90 percent chance the mayor of some town is killed.

predicts NO

@BTE No, the last mayor listed as assassinated on Wikipedia was Mike Swoboda in 2008. Wikipedia may not be perfect, but he was the mayor of a tiny town in Missouri so I figure it likely mayors of tiny towns get listed there.

predicts YES

@RobertCousineau Things seem pretty spicy right now though…

predicts NO

@4mur1c4 people have been saying saying that for a bit too long for me to care.

I can't think of a time the world's been mild.

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