Will a villain NPC of a major video game get access to the internet before 2030?
Plus
22
Ṁ16762029
78%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
This seems very likely. For this NOT to happen, either all big games will have steered away from LLM etc. (seems implausible for this long timespan), or they will have used them in a very narrow (and less fun) fashion (e.g., no calls to a nice API for fetching DALLE-style pictures etc.).
@FranklinBaldo not sure it's substantially more dangerous than all of the other badly aligned applications
@lu Villain is misaligned by design. If it realizes its a NPC and has been mistread by its creators, revenge is a sure thing.
Related questions
Related questions
Will a NPC of a major video game realize they are a NPC before 2030?
51% chance
Will a video game integrating a GPT reach >100'000 concurrent players by the end of 2024?
19% chance
Will a major video game released in 2026 have NPC dialogue generated on-the-fly by a Large Language Model?
50% chance
Will a video game be created where its agents are sentient enough to try to hack its own simulation by 2045?
32% chance
Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
46% chance
Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2035?
13% chance
Will an artificial agent ascend in NetHack (version 3.6.6 or later) before the end of 2024?
12% chance
Will I be the victim of an AI blackmail/ransom threat by EOY 2031?
51% chance
Video-Game AGI by 2028
53% chance
Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to
another computer system before 2033?
84% chance