Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the second Millennium Problem solved from now? | Manifold

Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the second Millennium Problem solved from now?

Plus

33

Ṁ3577

2030

86%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Ignore the next Millenium Problem is solved. Will the next Millenium Problem to be solved after that contain artificial intelligence (any sort of black box function that helped a mathematician or conducted the solution entirely). Some sort of brute force algorithm obviously doesn't count.

I'll prefer to defer to the authors/reviewers/specialists whether it involved Artificial Intelligence.

Alternative phrasing: after this related market resolves, what would be the answer if we immediately recreated that market?

Related: https://manifold.markets/MP/will-artificial-intelligence-be-par

In the (IMO unlikely) event that the next Millenium Problem is solved using AI and the one after it is not, this market resolves NO.

Since the answer to this market may be subjective, I will not bet on it.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Technical AI Timelines

#Millennium Prize Problems

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

It is very strange to me that this is trading below the linked market.

@FutureOwl I can say on my part, that my trading bot had a bug and bought three times as much NO as it was supposed to.

When viewing the linked market, I thought the difference in odds for the next and next-next Millenium Problem solved would be very different (by my estimate going from "probably no" to "probably yes"). I thought this was quite interesting, so I made a market.

Related questions

Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the NEXT Millennium Problem?

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Will Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?

Will the next Millennium Problem be solved by an AI?

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2040?

Before what year will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?

Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next?

Related questions

Will artificial intelligence be part of a solution of the NEXT Millennium Problem?

Will the next Millennium Problem be solved by an AI?

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2040?

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Before what year will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?

Will Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?

Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules