Will Apple have a top tier AI tool developed in house and available to consumers by the of 2025?
Plus
16
Ṁ10032026
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if Apple has an AI tool widely considered top tier at any time by end of year 2025.
If this were to resolve YES today in 2023 Apple would need to have a LLM that is competive with GPT4 and Claud 2. If they had something like Bard I would resolve no.
This is not restricted to LLMs. For instance a top tier photo editing or video editing tool would count. But it has to compete broadly - "the best photo editor phone app" wouldn't count.
Because what counts might get subjective I won't bet on this.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@PlasmaPower sure, a top tier image tool would count. I think here they would be competing with Photoshop?
Video editing in Final Cut Pro would also count.
Related questions
Related questions
Which AIs will be available in Siri in 2024?
Will Apple Intelligence be a bigger value add than Google Pixel's on-phone AI on 7/1/2025?
71% chance
Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2025?
18% chance
Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2026?
46% chance
Will Apple release another Vision product in 2025?
74% chance
Will there be an Apple Vision product with Apple Intelligence by the end of 2025?
37% chance
Will a consumer-grade autonomous AI be released by an established tech firm by the end of 2024?
31% chance
🚜 Will Apple release a generative AI product in 2024 that is 'groundbreaking'?
15% chance
Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026?
19% chance
Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2027?
76% chance