Human dies on Mars by 2050
13
1kṀ3652050
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if a human dies on the surface of Mars before 2050. Must be someone who has been on Mars for at least 24 hours, so not someone who died on impact. Also, not launch related, as in leaving to orbit/back to Earth.
Resolves No if this doesn’t happen by 2050
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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