Will anyone die in space before 2030?
Plus
41
Ṁ24932030
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The death must be above the Kármán line. (100km.) If it's unknown where exactly the death occurred, there must be a >=50% chance it occurred above the Kármán line.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
There's only ever been one incident where people died above the Kármán line. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_spaceflight-related_accidents_and_incidents
Related questions
Related questions
Will a human die in space by 2035?
75% chance
Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2030?
49% chance
Will an astronaut's life be lost during any stage of spaceflight before 2030?
34% chance
Will a human die in orbit before 2025?
6% chance
Will there be a fatal space accident before 2030?
52% chance
Will a Human Die in a Rocket Launch/ and or Space by 2035?
64% chance
Will a human intentionally kill another human in space by 2050?
46% chance
Will someone die aboard a SpaceX rocket before the end of 2030?
26% chance
Will there be 50 people in space at any moment before 2030?
37% chance
Will a person die on the moon before the end of 2050?
59% chance