Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?
Basic
40
Ṁ2.4k2030
45%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if quantum computers are used by at least 25% of Fortune 500 companies by 2030. The use does not have to be expensive, the companies just have to own and at least be attempting to utilize them.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
So if there's someone that sells quantum computing as a service to 25% of fortune 500 companies, this can still resolve NO if the companies don't own any additional quantum computing hardware of their own, right?
@BoltonBailey Here’s one that’s more like that: https://manifold.markets/GabeGarboden/will-aws-or-azure-offer-quantum-com?r=R2FiZUdhcmJvZGVu
Related questions
Will quantum computing break cybersecurity by 2030?
21% chance
Will there be a quantum computer with 100,000 functioning qbits before 2035?
67% chance
Will a quantum computer show a clear advantage vs classical computers in solving a major cryptographic problem by 2030?
41% chance
Will a quantum computer with at least 1500 qubits be announced before the end of 2030?
74% chance
Will Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?
19% chance
Will IBM produce a functional 100,000 qubit quantum-centric computing system by 2033?
21% chance
Will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems before 2030?
25% chance
In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)
2028
Will a quantum computer perform a calculation by 2026 that is impossible for any classical supercomputer?
48% chance