Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030? | Manifold

Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?

51

1kṀ11k

2030

29%

chance

4

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves Yes if quantum computers are used by at least 25% of Fortune 500 companies by 2030. The use does not have to be expensive, the companies just have to own and at least be attempting to utilize them.

Quantum Computing

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So if there's someone that sells quantum computing as a service to 25% of fortune 500 companies, this can still resolve NO if the companies don't own any additional quantum computing hardware of their own, right?

@BoltonBailey Correct

@BoltonBailey Here’s one that’s more like that: https://manifold.markets/GabeGarboden/will-aws-or-azure-offer-quantum-com?r=R2FiZUdhcmJvZGVu

Market on the RSA-2048 benchmark for fault-tolerant quantum computing.

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Will there be a quantum computer with 100,000 functioning qbits before 2035?

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